The Z Man’s latest echoes what I’ve been saying around here for a while now: Whatever happens in the election’s wake, it won’t be a civil war. Not yet, anyway. The key word in “organized violence” is organized, and the organization just isn’t there.
Yeah yeah, I know, Soros etc. And his non-intersectional, genderfluid peeps can organize a riot like nobody’s business. But there’s a vast difference between organizing a riot and even something as low-level as an insurrection, to say nothing of an actual alternative government.
There’s no revolution without an experienced group of competent, accomplished people — what the Commies, who knew a thing or two about it, would call cadre. Note that the cadre doesn’t have to instigate the whole thing — Lenin and the boys were famously late to the storming of the Winter Palace. That situation was all-but-complete chaos… but note that even there, the “Provisional Government” that emerged was chock full of talented, experienced people. Kerensky is a footnote to all but field specialists now, but in his day he was a seriously impressive dude, with long political experience (like Jeff Davis, the fact that he couldn’t rise to the highest challenge is no demerit; he was a man in a hundred thousand, taking on a situation that called for a man in a million).
Nor was Lenin, man in a million though he was, some kind of revolutionary savant who just happened to fall into power. The Russians had a revolutionary tradition like no other. Chernyshevsky wrote his famous novel in prison and died in exile, in Siberia, and he was a pantywaist intellectual compared to hard men like Lenin, Trotsky, and Koba. They were degenerate psychopaths, but they were no cowards, and they had long, hard schooling in revolution in which they placed their lives on the line.
Where are those among the American “revolutionaries”?
Before you answer “the fact that they can’t be found proves how hardcore they are,” consider the mechanics. Seriously ask yourself the following question: What would it take for you, personally, to pack up your entire life, lock your door, and march off to the nearest recruiting center, gun in hand, to sign up for the People’s Militia?
I know, I know, I’m old, and my huevos get lighter every year, but for me, a bare minimum answer to that question starts with: A hell of a lot more than “Antifa,” or the “Boogaloos” (or whatever the dumb shit on “our” side is supposed to be), or whoever, is offering.
Seriously imagine it. Biden wins, and a few days later there’s a knock at your door. Some goober in a MAGA hat says “I’m Colonel Bubba from the 3rd Boogaloo Brigade of the Provisional Army. Drop your socks and grab your cock, my fellow American, we’re going to war!”
This is bipartisan, of course. I’m a professional historian, and as such I can imagine a lot more “worst case scenario” than most people, so hell yeah I’m armed. I have seriously put myself through mental visualization exercises in which I’m forced to pull that trigger on another human being. All the combat vets here are laughing at me right now, I know, but y’all, I’m fuckin’ Rambo compared to the average Liberal. You think they’re going to drop everything in their nice gated community and go join the Resistance after Trump wins? Colonel Ocasio-Cortez shows up at their door, representing the 3rd Nonintersectional Genderfluid Brigade, and a week later they’ll still be arguing about their pronouns.
Actual revolutionary situations require strong, personal leadership ties. Both sides in the American Civil War could organize huge armies quickly because those armies were organized by community. You didn’t march off to war as a member of the 75th United States Infantry; you went off as a member of the 4th Rhode Island. You elected your commanding officer, and your company’s commanding officer, and your fellow soldiers were literally your neighbors.* I don’t even know my neighbors more than a few houses down; do you know yours? It’s possible that I’d go to war with Tommy, the dude three houses down, I guess, but I’m sure as hell not trusting my life, fortune, and sacred honor to “the guy who drives the green Subaru” three blocks over.
That’s the situation on our side, guys — and we’re the strong-community, family-values types. We might actually get our small farming towns to mount up, Civil War militia-style. The Left, by contrast, are massively online. Who are their local leaders, let alone their national ones? It’s not just a presidential election, y’all. Watch the candidates’ ads for all the downstream offices. Would you go to war for any of those poofs? I’ve said this before, but it bears repeating: The very sight of a fey little twink like Gavin Newsom on the barricades is worth at least three divisions to the other side.
Finally, consider “ideology,” for lack of a better term. What, exactly, do the Left want? They don’t know. They have never known. For their militants, flipping cars and setting shit on fire IS the point. Nobody wants to live in “CHAZ,” least of all them. Who’s going to sign up for that?
Not that “we” have much of an ideology, either, but we do have potent visuals. What do we want? NOT THAT, “that” being whatever the 5’2″, 200lb., purple-haired, multi-pierced, sleeve-tatted lesbians who can’t figure out which pronouns to use want. I may not like Orange Man all that much, but I’m ok with my life as it is right now. I’ll happily endure it if I could freeze it this way forever — stupid mask mandates and all — provided that the only alternative is “rule by those fucking fuggernauts.” Which, if it actually comes to cases, will be exactly the choice.
See what I mean?
This is not to say it’s all roses. We’re not voting our way out of this. But civil war isn’t happening tomorrow. Use what time you have left well, kameraden, and prepare accordingly.
*Now is not the time or place to discuss the mechanics of Civil War recruiting, but briefly: Since the US government did not want to imply that secession was valid, they never declared war on the “Confederate States.” The Civil War, legally speaking, was always a domestic insurrection, which means that United States forces in the field were always mere militia. Hence, the 4th Rhode Island, not “the 4th Infantry.” By the end of the war, you might not be able to find a Rhode Islander for love or money in the 4th Rhode Island (I’m just making that unit up; I have no idea what their real record was), but always it was technically, legally, a state militia formation.
There were outfits in the field with the “US Infantry” designation, but those were almost always freedmen — soldiers in the United States Colored Troops (USCT) had various unit designations, and early on you might see “the 5th US Infantry (Colored),” but generally in Civil War parlance “US Infantry” means freedmen; Whites served in state regiments.Loading Likes...